Uniswap

Uniswap's governance token, tied to the largest decentralised exchange by volume, priced against the US dollar.

3.890-0.86%

Price · last 3 months

Live · CoinGecko

Market trend

Bullish

79/100 confidence

Uniswap is clearly bullish on this timeframe.

Confidence measures how much the indicators agree with each other. It is not a probability that a trade will be profitable.

Signals behind this

Price vs long-term averagebullish
EMA 20 vs EMA 50bullish
MACD momentumbearish
RSI (14)neutral
Bollinger positionneutral
Market structurebullish

Key levels

4.145+6.55%
4.535+16.59%

Price3.890

3.802-2.26%
3.644-6.31%
2.733-29.75%

65.5%annualised · elevated

Volatility is above its typical level for this market. Expect larger swings than usual in both directions and size positions accordingly.

How this developed

Major moves, trend changes, level breaks and news for this window, newest first.

Dropped 7.24% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.4× its typical daily range (5.23%).
2d ago
Closed above 4.145
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
3d ago
Dropped 5.94% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.2× its typical daily range (5.02%).
4d ago
Jumped 10.50% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 2.1× its typical daily range (5.09%).
6d ago
Closed above 4.145
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
6d ago
Dropped 5.29% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.2× its typical daily range (4.35%).
9d ago
Closed below 3.802
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
9d ago
Jumped 5.98% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.3× its typical daily range (4.48%).
10d ago
Closed below 3.644
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
21d ago
Closed below 3.644
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
24d ago
Medium-term trend turned bullish
Trend change
The 20-period average crossed above the 50-period average — the same signal behind this page's trend verdict.
25d ago
Jumped 12.07% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.8× its typical daily range (6.72%).
Jul 2
Jumped 18.29% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 3.0× its typical daily range (6.19%).
Jun 16
Jumped 8.11% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.4× its typical daily range (5.69%).
Jun 15
Closed below 2.733
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 4
Dropped 7.18% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.3× its typical daily range (5.44%).
Jun 2
Closed below 3.644
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
May 15
Closed below 3.644
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
May 13
Closed below 3.802
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
May 12

Summary

Writing

Technical indicators

Computed from 90 bars over the last 3 months.

3.859 / 3.589

bullish

The 20-period average sits above the 50-period average, which is the classic shape of an uptrend. Price above both means buyers have controlled the recent range.

53.4

neutral

At 53 momentum is in the normal band — neither stretched nor exhausted, so RSI is not arguing for a reversal in either direction.

0.18331

bearish

MACD sits below its signal line — short-term momentum has rolled over relative to the medium-term trend, which typically precedes or confirms a pullback.

1.21× average

bearish

Recent activity is running 21% above the period average, and price is falling into it. Participation confirming the move is what separates a real trend from drift.

0.211 (5.43%)

neutral

The market has been moving about 0.211 per bar, or 5.43% of price. This is the number position sizing and stop placement should be built around — a stop tighter than this will be hit by ordinary noise.

Two ways this could go

Both paths are shown with equal weight. Neither is a prediction.

Potential bullish scenario

Trigger: A daily close above 4.145 on above-average volume
If it fires: 4.535 as the next area where sellers have previously stepped in
Invalidation: A move back below 3.802 would void this idea

If buyers can absorb the supply sitting at 4.145 and hold above it into a close, the path of least resistance opens toward 4.535. The broader trend already supports this, so it would be continuation rather than a reversal. Given the market is moving roughly 0.211 per bar, allow at least that much room before treating a wick through the level as a real breakout.

Potential bearish scenario

Trigger: Losing 3.802 and failing to reclaim it
If it fires: 3.644, the next level where buyers previously defended
Invalidation: Reclaiming 4.145 would void this idea

If 3.802 gives way and the market cannot recover it quickly, the next obvious area of interest is 3.644. This runs against the prevailing trend, so it would most likely need a catalyst rather than developing on its own. With volatility elevated, a break can travel a long way quickly — the first move is often the largest.

Trading risks

This analysis reads price history. It cannot anticipate news, and markets reprice on news faster than any indicator updates.
Volatility is elevated at roughly 65% annualised, so the usual position size carries more risk than usual right now.
Crypto trades 24/7, so a position can move substantially while you are asleep with no session close to protect you.
Liquidity thins dramatically during weekends and holidays, which exaggerates both directions.
Regulatory headlines remain the single largest source of unhedgeable overnight risk.

Key events to watch

Spot ETF flow data, published daily
Exchange reserve balances and large on-chain transfers
Regulatory announcements and enforcement actions in major jurisdictions

What actually drives Uniswap: decentralised-exchange trading volume, fee-switch governance decisions, DeFi risk appetite.

This analysis is educational and should not be considered financial advice. It is generated from historical price data and can be wrong. Markets reprice on news faster than any indicator updates. Never risk money you cannot afford to lose.

Generated Aug 4, 08:14 PM · Live market data from CoinGecko.