Hedera

Hedera's native token, used to pay fees on its enterprise-oriented distributed ledger, priced against the US dollar.

104.16754+0.42%

Price · last 3 months

Simulated

Market trend

Neutral

41/100 confidence

Hedera is range-bound with no decisive edge either way.

Confidence measures how much the indicators agree with each other. It is not a probability that a trade will be profitable.

Signals behind this

Price vs long-term averageneutral
EMA 20 vs EMA 50bullish
MACD momentumbearish
RSI (14)bearish
Bollinger positionbearish
Market structurebullish

Key levels

104.31138+0.14%
106.44646+2.19%
106.81521+2.54%

Price104.16754

104.13608-0.03%
101.64541-2.42%
99.34282-4.63%

17.9%annualised · low

Volatility is compressed relative to normal. Quiet markets tend to precede expansion, so this is a setup for a breakout rather than a reason to expect continued calm.

How this developed

Major moves, trend changes, level breaks and news for this window, newest first.

Closed below 104.13608
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
20h ago
Closed above 106.81521
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
6d ago
Jumped 2.51% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.2× its typical daily range (2.05%).
8d ago
Closed above 106.44646
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
8d ago
Closed above 106.81521
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
8d ago
Closed above 104.31138
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
19d ago
Closed below 104.13608
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
23d ago
Closed above 104.31138
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
26d ago
Medium-term trend turned bullish
Trend change
The 20-period average crossed above the 50-period average — the same signal behind this page's trend verdict.
Jul 5
Medium-term trend turned bearish
Trend change
The 20-period average crossed below the 50-period average — the same signal behind this page's trend verdict.
Jul 3
Closed below 101.64541
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jul 2
Closed below 101.64541
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 30
Closed below 104.13608
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 28
Jumped 2.72% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.2× its typical daily range (2.23%).
Jun 22
Closed above 104.31138
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 22
Closed below 99.34282
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 18
Closed below 101.64541
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 16
Dropped 2.76% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.2× its typical daily range (2.21%).
Jun 10
Closed below 104.13608
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 10
Closed above 104.31138
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 9

Showing the 20 most recent of 28 events in this window.

Summary

Writing

Technical indicators

Computed from 90 bars over the last 3 months.

105.29598 / 104.54307

bullish

The 20-period average sits above the 50-period average, which is the classic shape of an uptrend. Price above both means buyers have controlled the recent range.

44.7

bearish

At 45 momentum is in the normal band — neither stretched nor exhausted, so RSI is not arguing for a reversal in either direction.

0.20518

bearish

MACD sits below its signal line — short-term momentum has rolled over relative to the medium-term trend, which typically precedes or confirms a pullback.

0.95× average

neutral

Volume is close to its period average — participation is normal and is neither confirming nor contradicting the price move.

2.08201 (2.01%)

neutral

The market has been moving about 2.08201 per bar, or 2.01% of price. This is the number position sizing and stop placement should be built around — a stop tighter than this will be hit by ordinary noise.

Two ways this could go

Both paths are shown with equal weight. Neither is a prediction.

Potential bullish scenario

Trigger: A daily close above 104.31138 on above-average volume
If it fires: 106.44646 as the next area where sellers have previously stepped in
Invalidation: A move back below 104.13608 would void this idea

If buyers can absorb the supply sitting at 104.31138 and hold above it into a close, the path of least resistance opens toward 106.44646. In a range-bound market a clean break is what resolves the indecision, so the volume behind it matters more than the break itself. Given the market is moving roughly 2.08201 per bar, allow at least that much room before treating a wick through the level as a real breakout.

Potential bearish scenario

Trigger: Losing 104.13608 and failing to reclaim it
If it fires: 101.64541, the next level where buyers previously defended
Invalidation: Reclaiming 104.31138 would void this idea

If 104.13608 gives way and the market cannot recover it quickly, the next obvious area of interest is 101.64541. With no trend in place, a failure at support is as likely to resolve the range as a break higher. With volatility contained, expect the move to develop over several bars rather than in one impulse.

Trading risks

This analysis reads price history. It cannot anticipate news, and markets reprice on news faster than any indicator updates.
Indicators disagree with each other on this timeframe, which historically means choppy conditions and a higher rate of false signals.
Crypto trades 24/7, so a position can move substantially while you are asleep with no session close to protect you.
Liquidity thins dramatically during weekends and holidays, which exaggerates both directions.
Regulatory headlines remain the single largest source of unhedgeable overnight risk.

Key events to watch

Spot ETF flow data, published daily
Exchange reserve balances and large on-chain transfers
Regulatory announcements and enforcement actions in major jurisdictions

What actually drives Hedera: enterprise partnership announcements, network throughput, council-governance decisions.

This analysis is educational and should not be considered financial advice. It is generated from historical price data and can be wrong. Markets reprice on news faster than any indicator updates. Never risk money you cannot afford to lose.

Generated Aug 4, 08:13 PM · No live source is configured for this market, so prices are simulated and do not represent real quotes.