Ethereum
Ether priced against the US dollar.
Price · last 3 months
SimulatedMarket trend
Bullish
Ethereum is clearly bullish on this timeframe.
Confidence measures how much the indicators agree with each other. It is not a probability that a trade will be profitable.
Signals behind this
- Price vs long-term averagebullish
- EMA 20 vs EMA 50bullish
- MACD momentumbullish
- RSI (14)bullish
- Bollinger positionbullish
- Market structurebullish
Key levels
- 4,081.36+5.07%
- 3,807.06-2.00%
- 3,650.31-6.03%
- 3,399.91-12.48%
54.1%annualised · normal
Volatility is around its normal level for this market — no particular warning signal from the range itself.
How this developed
Major moves, trend changes, level breaks and news for this window, newest first.
Bitcoin ETFs log largest weekly inflow since launch
NewsSpot Bitcoin ETFs took in net new money across every session last week, led by two of the largest issuers. Ether products saw smaller but positive flows for the third week running.
3h ago
Ethereum layer-2 activity hits record as fees compress further
NewsAggregate transactions across major rollups set a new high while median fees fell again following the latest data-availability upgrade. Mainnet settlement revenue rose despite lower per-transaction costs.
12h ago
Closed below 3,807.06
Level breakThat price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
6d ago
Medium-term trend turned bullish
Trend changeThe 20-period average crossed above the 50-period average — the same signal behind this page's trend verdict.
9d ago
Dropped 6.06% in one bar
Price moveA genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.2× its typical daily range (5.16%).
14d ago
Closed below 3,650.31
Level breakThat price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
14d ago
Closed below 3,650.31
Level breakThat price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
16d ago
Closed below 3,399.91
Level breakThat price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
20d ago
Closed below 3,399.91
Level breakThat price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
22d ago
Dropped 7.69% in one bar
Price moveA genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.4× its typical daily range (5.41%).
25d ago
Closed below 3,399.91
Level breakThat price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
25d ago
Closed below 3,399.91
Level breakThat price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
29d ago
Dropped 7.02% in one bar
Price moveA genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.2× its typical daily range (5.90%).
Jun 30
Closed below 3,399.91
Level breakThat price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 30
Closed below 3,399.91
Level breakThat price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 13
Closed below 3,399.91
Level breakThat price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 9
Closed below 3,399.91
Level breakThat price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 7
Closed below 3,650.31
Level breakThat price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 5
Closed below 3,399.91
Level breakThat price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
May 27
Closed below 3,807.06
Level breakThat price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
May 26
Showing the 20 most recent of 24 events in this window.
Summary
Technical indicators
Computed from 90 bars over the last 3 months.
3,732.27 / 3,636.52
The 20-period average sits above the 50-period average, which is the classic shape of an uptrend. Price above both means buyers have controlled the recent range.
63.5
At 64 momentum is in the normal band — neither stretched nor exhausted, so RSI is not arguing for a reversal in either direction.
123.0740
MACD is above its signal line, so short-term momentum is running ahead of the medium-term trend. Momentum is currently working for buyers.
0.94× average
Volume is close to its period average — participation is normal and is neither confirming nor contradicting the price move.
192.46 (4.80%)
The market has been moving about 192.46 per bar, or 4.80% of price. This is the number position sizing and stop placement should be built around — a stop tighter than this will be hit by ordinary noise.
Two ways this could go
Both paths are shown with equal weight. Neither is a prediction.
Potential bullish scenario
- Trigger
- A daily close above 4,081.36 on above-average volume
- If it fires
- 4,162.98 as the next area where sellers have previously stepped in
- Invalidation
- A move back below 3,807.06 would void this idea
If buyers can absorb the supply sitting at 4,081.36 and hold above it into a close, the path of least resistance opens toward 4,162.98. The broader trend already supports this, so it would be continuation rather than a reversal. Given the market is moving roughly 192.46 per bar, allow at least that much room before treating a wick through the level as a real breakout.
Potential bearish scenario
- Trigger
- Losing 3,807.06 and failing to reclaim it
- If it fires
- 3,650.31, the next level where buyers previously defended
- Invalidation
- Reclaiming 4,081.36 would void this idea
If 3,807.06 gives way and the market cannot recover it quickly, the next obvious area of interest is 3,650.31. This runs against the prevailing trend, so it would most likely need a catalyst rather than developing on its own. With volatility contained, expect the move to develop over several bars rather than in one impulse.
Trading risks
- This analysis reads price history. It cannot anticipate news, and markets reprice on news faster than any indicator updates.
- Crypto trades 24/7, so a position can move substantially while you are asleep with no session close to protect you.
- Liquidity thins dramatically during weekends and holidays, which exaggerates both directions.
- Regulatory headlines remain the single largest source of unhedgeable overnight risk.
Key events to watch
- Spot ETF flow data, published daily
- Exchange reserve balances and large on-chain transfers
- Regulatory announcements and enforcement actions in major jurisdictions
What actually drives Ethereum: network activity, staking flows, layer-2 adoption, correlation to Bitcoin.
Latest market news
Bitcoin ETFs log largest weekly inflow since launch
30-second summary
Spot Bitcoin ETFs took in net new money across every session last week, led by two of the largest issuers. Ether products saw smaller but positive flows for the third week running.
Ethereum layer-2 activity hits record as fees compress further
30-second summary
Aggregate transactions across major rollups set a new high while median fees fell again following the latest data-availability upgrade. Mainnet settlement revenue rose despite lower per-transaction costs.
This analysis is educational and should not be considered financial advice. It is generated from historical price data and can be wrong. Markets reprice on news faster than any indicator updates. Never risk money you cannot afford to lose.
Generated Aug 4, 08:13 PM · No live source is configured for this market, so prices are simulated and do not represent real quotes.