Dogecoin

Dogecoin, the largest meme coin by market capitalisation, priced against the US dollar.

110.14725+1.41%

Price · last 3 months

Simulated

Market trend

Bullish

88/100 confidence

Dogecoin is clearly bullish on this timeframe.

Confidence measures how much the indicators agree with each other. It is not a probability that a trade will be profitable.

Signals behind this

Price vs long-term averagebullish
EMA 20 vs EMA 50bullish
MACD momentumbullish
RSI (14)bullish
Bollinger positionbullish
Market structurebullish

Key levels

110.72479+0.52%

Price110.14725

107.09891-2.77%
103.96087-5.62%
102.93092-6.55%

19.4%annualised · low

Volatility is compressed relative to normal. Quiet markets tend to precede expansion, so this is a setup for a breakout rather than a reason to expect continued calm.

How this developed

Major moves, trend changes, level breaks and news for this window, newest first.

Closed below 107.09891
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
3d ago
Closed below 107.09891
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
5d ago
Medium-term trend turned bullish
Trend change
The 20-period average crossed above the 50-period average — the same signal behind this page's trend verdict.
10d ago
Closed below 102.93092
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
16d ago
Jumped 2.53% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.2× its typical daily range (2.06%).
28d ago
Dropped 2.55% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.3× its typical daily range (2.00%).
Jun 30
Closed below 102.93092
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 26
Jumped 2.56% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.2× its typical daily range (2.05%).
Jun 22
Closed below 103.96087
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 8
Closed below 102.93092
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 8
Closed below 103.96087
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 6
Closed below 103.96087
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
May 26
Closed below 107.09891
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
May 24
Closed below 103.96087
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
May 14
Closed below 102.93092
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
May 14
Closed below 102.93092
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
May 12
Closed below 103.96087
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
May 10
Closed below 102.93092
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
May 10

Summary

Writing

Technical indicators

Computed from 90 bars over the last 3 months.

105.35438 / 103.54956

bullish

The 20-period average sits above the 50-period average, which is the classic shape of an uptrend. Price above both means buyers have controlled the recent range.

69.6

bullish

At 70 momentum is in the normal band — neither stretched nor exhausted, so RSI is not arguing for a reversal in either direction.

2.03430

bullish

MACD is above its signal line, so short-term momentum is running ahead of the medium-term trend. Momentum is currently working for buyers.

0.97× average

neutral

Volume is close to its period average — participation is normal and is neither confirming nor contradicting the price move.

2.23648 (2.03%)

neutral

The market has been moving about 2.23648 per bar, or 2.03% of price. This is the number position sizing and stop placement should be built around — a stop tighter than this will be hit by ordinary noise.

Two ways this could go

Both paths are shown with equal weight. Neither is a prediction.

Potential bullish scenario

Trigger: A daily close above 110.72479 on above-average volume
If it fires: 112.93928 as the next area where sellers have previously stepped in
Invalidation: A move back below 107.09891 would void this idea

If buyers can absorb the supply sitting at 110.72479 and hold above it into a close, the path of least resistance opens toward 112.93928. The broader trend already supports this, so it would be continuation rather than a reversal. Given the market is moving roughly 2.23648 per bar, allow at least that much room before treating a wick through the level as a real breakout.

Potential bearish scenario

Trigger: Losing 107.09891 and failing to reclaim it
If it fires: 103.96087, the next level where buyers previously defended
Invalidation: Reclaiming 110.72479 would void this idea

If 107.09891 gives way and the market cannot recover it quickly, the next obvious area of interest is 103.96087. This runs against the prevailing trend, so it would most likely need a catalyst rather than developing on its own. With volatility contained, expect the move to develop over several bars rather than in one impulse.

Trading risks

This analysis reads price history. It cannot anticipate news, and markets reprice on news faster than any indicator updates.
Crypto trades 24/7, so a position can move substantially while you are asleep with no session close to protect you.
Liquidity thins dramatically during weekends and holidays, which exaggerates both directions.
Regulatory headlines remain the single largest source of unhedgeable overnight risk.

Key events to watch

Spot ETF flow data, published daily
Exchange reserve balances and large on-chain transfers
Regulatory announcements and enforcement actions in major jurisdictions

What actually drives Dogecoin: social-media sentiment, retail speculative flow, broader crypto beta.

This analysis is educational and should not be considered financial advice. It is generated from historical price data and can be wrong. Markets reprice on news faster than any indicator updates. Never risk money you cannot afford to lose.

Generated Aug 4, 08:13 PM · No live source is configured for this market, so prices are simulated and do not represent real quotes.